Galen Stops looks at the drivers behind the appreciation of the Mexican peso and asks whether the rally can continue.
Few, if any, saw this coming.
After Donald Trump won the US presidential race in November 2016, USD/MXN went from 18.03 up to 20.89, and by the time of his inauguration in January 2017, the exchange rate was up to 21.58.
This depreciation of the peso seemed eminently reasonable at the time, given that on the campaign trail Trump had promised to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) in America’s favour or terminate the agreement altogether, not to mention building a border wall between the US and Mexico at the latter’s expense.
“I have a great idea,” said P&L’s managing editor Colin Lambert. “Let’s record the podcast by the pool…”
Yes, we are back on the road again with this week’s podcast recorded in Hong Kong on the sidelines of the Profit & Loss conference there and thankfully our audio engineers managed to alleviate the worst impact from Lambert’s “clever” suggestion.
So listen in as regular podcasters Lambert and P&L editor Galen Stops are joined by returning guest John Ashworth, CEO of Caplin, who immediately “owns” them by dropping a fantastic Hong Kong fact into the conversation very early.
Topics include a discussion about a very eye-opening chat at the start of the conference which looked at the chaos in Washington DC, the evolution of AI and Fintech and the differing attitudes to crypto markets in Asia and the US.
The podcast also includes Lambert’s observations on some very interesting answers to his questions on the future of the FX swaps market during the liquidity panel, however this week’s edition does come with a warning as it closes out by providing an image that some listeners may find disturbing!