There are those in the FX world who believe the narrative of a return to bilateral, relationship-based trading was driven by a group of liquidity providers talking their book. Looking at the numbers in last week’s FX committee turnover surveys, specifically the spot e-trading statistics from the UK and US, I think it is fair to say that the cynicism is wrong, or the narrative is working, or both, because the last two years has seen a definitive shift in trading away from anonymous venues towards disclosed channels.
In this week’s podcast Colin Lambert attempts to sound informative on all things crypto, while Galen Stops is informative on all things crypto. They also discuss the shift in FX trading from anonymous to disclosed channels and its impact on last look as well as the latest on pre-hedging from the Global FX Committee. There is also time for one to bang on about a correct prediction (to date) made at the start of the year and they also touch on "de-centralised" crypto trading platforms and realise it's just like the FX options market in the 1980s.
If you ever wanted an example of how an enhanced market structure – specifically around electronic trading – helps to build volumes, one need look no further than NDFs. Volumes have been climbing steadily over the past five years, indeed I am starting to think they may eclipse FX options soon, and how people trade them also appears to be shifting, to the degree that I wonder if the NDF market is giving us a glimpse into the market structure of the foreseeable future?