Regular readers will know I have what I believe to be a healthy level of scepticism over the use of AI and machine learning in trading.
What will give me more confidence is the better embracing of adversarial AI, for only by imbuing an algo with a certain amount of cynicism will we empower it to trade effectively in markets because, and this is a point I have made before in these pages, it is quite easy to spoof an algo.
This is a pretty horrible time for CTAs, not only because of the sector's very visible performance issues, but because it's even worse than the numbers suggest. After all, the big selling point for CTAs has always been they are a good hedge in falling equity markets - but they clearly have not been this year. It may not be all doom and gloom, however, for using new technologies and techniques they have the opportunity to re-engineer their models to meet the challenges of the modern market structure.