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Exchanges in FX: A Game of Musical Chairs

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In recent years, large exchange groups have been lining up to buy OTC FX platforms. But in this game of musical chairs, what happens to the venues without a buyer when the music stops? Galen Stops reports.One of the major trends in the multi-dealer platform space in recent years has been the acquisition of these platforms by larger exchange groups. Hotspot was the first to go after it was bought by BATS Global Markets in 2015, which in turn was then acquired by Cboe Global Markets in 2017 and the FX platform was rebranded as CboeFX.

Exchanges in FX: A Game of Musical Chairs

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In recent years, large exchange groups have been lining up to buy OTC FX platforms. But in this game of musical chairs, what happens to the venues without a buyer when the music stops? Galen Stops reports.One of the major trends in the multi-dealer platform space in recent years has been the acquisition of these platforms by larger exchange groups. Hotspot was the first to go after it was bought by BATS Global Markets in 2015, which in turn was then acquired by Cboe Global Markets in 2017 and the FX platform was rebranded as CboeFX.

In the FICC of It

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In this week’s podcast Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss the article penned for Profit & Loss by former FX trader Rohan Ramchandani about his trial and subsequent acquittal for market manipulation. While they generally agree on most points there is, inevitably, areas of disagreement, but that is nothing compared to when they move on (thanks to a quiet news week) to how they ranked each other’s predictions for 2018. The results are available on the website, but why did Stops given Lambert a 6/10 for a bitcoin prediction that was actually correct? And why did Lambert return the compliment given Stops just a 4/10 for his own crypto prediction? All will be revealed in this week’s In the FICC of It podcast, along with exactly which one of them scored the most points with their predictions.

Close, But No Cigar

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Having taken a look at Colin Lambert’s predictions for 2018, Galen Stops finds that he was almost right with all of them. “Almost” being the operative word.…..1.“Bitcoin. That’s The Thing That Goes Up, Right?” – “The advent of futures in Bitcoin will take volatility out of the market. The cryptocurrency will end the year lower, not at zero, but in the single digits of thousands of dollars.” Colin definitely scored a hit with his price prediction, with bitcoin currently at $3,500 at the time of writing. However, he did give himself a rather generous amount of leeway by effectively predicting that it would end the year anywhere between $1 and $9,999.

FX Volumes on SEFs Up In January

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The average daily volume (ADV) of spot FX traded on Swap Execution Facilities (SEFs) in January was $61.2 billion, up month-on-month from $49.8 billion and up 5.5% from $58 billion in January 2018.This represents the third highest month of ADV ever, behind June and March 2018, when the platforms registered a total of $62.9 billion and $61.3 billion, respectively. Tullett Prebon’s SEF saw the most FX volume, with an ADV of $15.8 billion going through its platform last month. The next biggest by volume was the BGC SEF, which recorded an ADV of $12.4 billion in FX, followed by Tradition and GFI, which both recorded $9.4 billion.

Making Internalisation Work

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Discussing the launch of NEX’s (Nex) new data analytics suite, Tim Cartledge, global head of FX and head of product at NEX Markets, says that it aims to make internalization more beneficial to both liquidity providers and consumers.

“The problem that we’re trying to solve is that the relationship between liquidity provider and consumers on a relationship based platform actually doesn’t have much relationship left in it anymore because the way the market has evolved is that the liquidity consumers really don’t know how how the liquidity providers are making that liquidity, they don’t know how they’re holding the risk for an extended period until they find an offsetting client trade. In short, they don’t understand how internalization works,” says Cartledge.

In the FICC of It

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In this week’s podcast, Colin Lambert and Galen Stops take a look at the first in-depth analysis from a broker of the CME-NEX deal and while they accept that much of what was written was already known and had been discussed there were a few nuggets of useful information in there.
On the subject of mergers and acquisitions, they also discuss the recent changes at Refinitiv and clarify their thoughts on potential M&A activity involving that firm’s Matching, Dealing and FXall businesses. Will firms be willing to splash the amount of cash required to complete such a deal? Who would be the best buyers for the combined business or elements thereof? This and more is discussed.
In a quite remarkable conclusion, they close out by expressing sympathy for a regulator – something unlikely to ever happen again – before Lambert offers listeners the benefit(?) of his experience of trading Cable with a trading recommendation as the Brexit saga continues…what could go wrong?

Analysts Steady on CME Forecast After NEX Acquisition

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Equities analysts at UBS have issued a research report on the merger between CME Group and NEX Group, stating that while they are confident in the potential upsides to this deal, the benefits might not start to materialise for at least a year.

Having previously downgraded CME shares from “Buy” to “Neutral”, the UBS analysts Alex Kramm and John Goode decided to maintain the current rating, with an unchanged 12-month price target of $204 per share. At the time the report was issued, CME shares were trading at $189.51.

CME Completes NEX Acquisition

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CME Group has completed its acquisition of NEX Group.

“The combined company will be uniquely positioned to provide efficient access to futures, cash and OTC markets, as well as a wide array of optimisation services and analytical tools,” says CME in a statement issued today.

Though the NEX brand will be retired, its primary sub-brands, including BrokerTec, EBS, Traiana and TriOptima, will remain. Other brand names will be folded into CME Group businesses.

“CME Group will use its technology, trading expertise and product development resources to further strengthen and scale NEX businesses especially as market participants, like you,

CME Clears Final Hurdle for NEX Acquisition

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CME Group has received clearance from the UK Competition and Markets Authority for its acquisition of NEX Group.

This means that all of the conditions relating to regulatory and antitrust approvals for the deal have now been satisfied or waived.

The boards of NEX and CME announced on March 29, 2018, that they had reached an agreement on the terms of a recommended share and cash acquisition of the entire issued and to-be-issued share capital of NEX. On May 18, 2018, NEX shareholders approved the terms of the acquisition.

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