Tag: Macro-Economics

Macro-Economics

In the FICC of It

There is much for listeners to enjoy in this week’s podcast as Colin Lambert tries to sound intelligent on credit, clearing and crypto, three subject with which he has the loosest connection. Luckily Galen Stops is on hand to provide the voice of reason as our two podcasters discuss how prime brokers and their preferred target customers are poles apart on what the PB service should look like. The potential for big change is there, says Stops, but what, if anything, is going to trigger it?
This week’s podcast also looks at a new ETF launched in the crypto space, which, Stops explains, seeks to provide investor access to “digital assets”. Putting aside Lambert’s inevitable cynicism – “is ‘digital assets’ just another phrase for cryptocurrencies?” – the development is an interesting one, for as he asks, ‘does this make the technology underpinning the crypto world the asset in question?’
Luckily for him and sadly for listeners, Lambert does get to sound off about how the FX market is radically different from even 15-20 years ago, and of course he has a theory about why that is. He also gets to re-live his childhood thanks to Stops asking him, “If you were trading now, what would you do with Cable?”

How Long Can the MXN Rally Last?

Galen Stops looks at the drivers behind the appreciation of the Mexican peso and asks whether the rally can continue.

Few, if any, saw this coming.

After Donald Trump won the US presidential race in November 2016, USD/MXN went from 18.03 up to 20.89, and by the time of his inauguration in January 2017, the exchange rate was up to 21.58.

This depreciation of the peso seemed eminently reasonable at the time, given that on the campaign trail Trump had promised to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) in America’s favour or terminate the agreement altogether, not to mention building a border wall between the US and Mexico at the latter’s expense.

FX Volatility Highlighting Under-Served Market Segment

A more volatile trading environment is exposing a segment of businesses that are currently being under-served by FX service providers, claims Moises Michan, a managing partner at Tanridge Capital.

“I think that when you start looking into these higher volatility environments is when you start having treasurers and heads of family offices realising that they’re not FX experts, there’s a lot of mechanics a lot of input going into the FX market, and they do have exposures,” he says.
Michan says that Tanridge capital is focusing its efforts on providing FX asset management services for small to medium sized institutions that don’t meet the client requirements of the big banks.