This week’s In the FICC of It podcast is an emotional rollercoaster, containing euphoria, resignations and emotional pleas for clemency as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss key themes from the last two conferences of the year at Profit & Loss, in Singapore and Hong Kong. Reflecting upon some really interesting (and different) perspectives on […]
Tag: FX liquidity
I am flying to Singapore and then Hong Kong for our two Asian conferences this week, so this will necessarily be relatively brief – what does the British electorate have in store for us this time and will this UK general election, like so many other votes recently, leave the pollsters with egg on their […]
I noticed that an old favourite turned up in the news cycle last week – indeed I suspect it is moving into the market’s general psyche given more people are talking to me about it – and that is peer-to-peer matching, more specifically asset managers seeking to by-pass the banks because the latter are able […]
I have always been someone who has, in FX trading at least, looked at certain firms’ desperation to shave another millisecond off round trip times with some despair and no little disdain. Obviously trading has got faster, that is inevitable in such a technologically-innovative era, but I have always looked at the speed issue single dimensionally – it was about people with a technology advantage exploiting it. I wonder, though, whether circumstances are pointing in the direction of a new effort to shave time off the trading process?
The survey published last week by JP Morgan had liquidity as its customers’ number one concern, which, as P&L’s editor Galen Stops and I observe in this week’s podcast, kind of gives lie to the regular protestations from speakers at events that FX liquidity is plentiful. Some of the reasons for liquidity thinning out, people trying to jump on a trend for example, are understandable, but there is one that interests me – and that is the impact of best execution policies.
Scepticism abounds in this week’s In the FICC of It podcast as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops take a look at the latest bank to unveil a digital markets strategy – including all your favourite buzzwords. While Stops believes this is the latest move in what will be a growing trend, our podcasters also wonder whether it’s not really just a rebranding exercise?
They then move into more traditional areas and discuss JP Morgan’s survey on FX market conditions, and while they agree with a lot of the findings, there are one or two areas that raise an eyebrow, not least around internalisation and AI.
AI-generated trading and liquidity are also the forefront as they move on to share their thoughts around the flash crash in Jardine Matheson stock last week in Singapore, including asking the question, what does it mean for market maker programmes and certain order types?
The discussion then moves on to look at the latest FX turnover surveys from the world’s FX committees, with particular attention on three interesting/puzzling (delete as appropriate) elements of the UK report surrounding RMB, NDFs and voice brokers.
The podcast ends on with Lambert praising “the optimism of youth” after Stops highlights what he thinks could be a very important line at the end of the latest document detailing an FX-related fine in the US – in other words, the cynic in him won the day!
In football parlance it’s a tap in for Galen Stops and Colin Lambert in this week’s podcast as they have more academic-research-that-states-the-obvious to poke fun at. Listen in as they discuss last week’s report on the Swiss National Bank debacle in 2015 as well as the FX market’s handling of the Brexit vote. They also take a look at the potential impact of last week’s HSBC announcement that it had settled FX trades using distributed ledger technology, as well as the mysterious disappearance from marketing material of two asset classes at a recent platform media day.
Thursday’s column provided a steady stream of comments and feedback with one question over-riding all others – what can be done to avert more flash events, especially in the Australasian window before the mainland Asia open?
I actually think the question should be, ‘what, if anything, should be done?’ because I remain unconvinced that what happened last week requires a radical rethink of how the FX market operates. This may come as a surprise to long-standing readers who may recall me advocating for the use of central bank volatility bands post-sterling flash crash, but the two events are different.
The January 3 flash event in FX markets continues to fuel the news cycle and in this week’s podcast, Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss the real impact of algos – widely cited as a major factor in the event – in markets. For once they agree on a central theme in the debate, including Lambert (very reluctantly) shooting down one of his own arguments with Stops last year on trend following, but as always there’s room for divergent views.
There is nothing like a flash event to get people excited and for news outlets to dust off and update the old “blame the algos” stories for publication. Equally, there are members of our industry of a (ahem) certain generation who are quick to jump on the bandwagon with the rejoinder “it wasn’t like that before the machines”.
As a member of that “certain” generation I can assure readers that it is utter nonsense and that last week’s flash event was triggered by a human.