Lizzy Birmingham provides a brief roundup of the major FX moves this week, and the drivers behind each. 1) Pound Temporarily Bounces Back after May’s Resignation Today, British Prime Minister (PM) Theresa May announced her resignation, set for Friday, June 7. May’s announcement comes after three failed attempts to pass a Brexit deal, confirming mass-speculation […]
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) Divisions of Swap Dealer and Intermediary Oversight (DSIO), Market Oversight (DMO), and Clearing and Risk (DCR), have announced they will grant no-action relief to provide greater certainty to the global marketplace in connection with the anticipated withdrawal of the UK from the European Union with or without a ratified withdrawal agreement.
“At a time of heightened market uncertainty caused by Brexit, this Commission has worked over the past several weeks to bring clarity to participants in global derivatives markets by a series of separate actions and statements with its regulatory counterparts in other jurisdictions,” says CFTC chairman Christopher Giancarlo.
Following on from Profit & Loss’ recent Forex Network New York event, Galen Stops gives picks out a few key themes from each panel session for discussion with Colin Lambert.On the trading side, they talk about whether there is such thing as “the wrong kind of volatility”, Stops says that panellist responses to a Brexit question perfectly sums up the confusion around recent political events in the UK and they question whether the industry has become so good at trading FX that it’s effectively killed market.Looking at trends around credit intermedation, Stops reveals that there is an emerging debate about whether more buy side firms will gravitate towards the FXPB or centrally cleared model and the pair discuss why it might be inevitable that market participants will pay more for PB services in the future.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has passed by unanimous vote, a provision to provide greater certainty to the global marketplace in the event of a “no-deal Brexit” precipitated by the withdrawal of the UK from the European Union without a negotiated withdrawal agreement.
“At a time of heightened market uncertainty caused by Brexit, this Commission has worked over the past several weeks to bring clarity to participants in global derivatives markets by a series of separate actions and statements with its regulatory counterparts in London, Brussels and Singapore,” says CFTC chairman Christopher Giancarlo.
There is much for listeners to enjoy in this week’s podcast as Colin Lambert tries to sound intelligent on credit, clearing and crypto, three subject with which he has the loosest connection. Luckily Galen Stops is on hand to provide the voice of reason as our two podcasters discuss how prime brokers and their preferred target customers are poles apart on what the PB service should look like. The potential for big change is there, says Stops, but what, if anything, is going to trigger it?
This week’s podcast also looks at a new ETF launched in the crypto space, which, Stops explains, seeks to provide investor access to “digital assets”. Putting aside Lambert’s inevitable cynicism – “is ‘digital assets’ just another phrase for cryptocurrencies?” – the development is an interesting one, for as he asks, ‘does this make the technology underpinning the crypto world the asset in question?’
Luckily for him and sadly for listeners, Lambert does get to sound off about how the FX market is radically different from even 15-20 years ago, and of course he has a theory about why that is. He also gets to re-live his childhood thanks to Stops asking him, “If you were trading now, what would you do with Cable?”
Following a review of UK-based central counterparties (CCPs) and central securities depositories (CSDs), the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has announced that in the event of a no-deal Brexit, three CCPs established in the UK – LCH Limited, ICE Clear Europe Limited and LME Clear Limited – will be recognised to provide their services in the European Union.
ESMA says it has adopted these recognition decisions in order to limit the risk of disruption in central clearing and to avoid any negative impact on the financial stability of the EU.
The Bank of England and European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) have announced that they have agreed Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) regarding cooperation and information-sharing arrangements with respect to central counterparties (CCPs) and central securities depositories (CSDs).
The MoUs follow the adoption by the European Commission in December 2018 of temporary equivalence decisions on the future UK legal and supervisory framework for UK CCPs and CSDs.
The Commission’s implementing acts would come into effect in the result of a no-deal Brexit. In that scenario, they would allow UK CCPs and CSDs to be recognised by ESMA from 30 March 2019, and therefore continue to provide services respectively to EU clearing members, trading venues and also provide notary and settlement services for securities issued under EU law.
The MoUs will also only take effect in the event of a no-deal Brexit.
In football parlance it’s a tap in for Galen Stops and Colin Lambert in this week’s podcast as they have more academic-research-that-states-the-obvious to poke fun at. Listen in as they discuss last week’s report on the Swiss National Bank debacle in 2015 as well as the FX market’s handling of the Brexit vote. They also take a look at the potential impact of last week’s HSBC announcement that it had settled FX trades using distributed ledger technology, as well as the mysterious disappearance from marketing material of two asset classes at a recent platform media day.
The Bank of England, European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), and the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have all welcomed the decision by the European Commission (EC) to adopt a temporary equivalence regime for central counterparties (CCPs) and Central Securities Depositories (CSDs).
ESMA says it supports continued access to UK CCPs, in order to limit the risk of disruption in central clearing and to avoid any negative impact on the financial stability of the EU. It adds it aims to recognise UK CCPs in a timely manner, as long as four recognition conditions under Article 25 of EMIR are met.
In this week’s podcast, Colin Lambert and Galen Stops take a look at the first in-depth analysis from a broker of the CME-NEX deal and while they accept that much of what was written was already known and had been discussed there were a few nuggets of useful information in there.
On the subject of mergers and acquisitions, they also discuss the recent changes at Refinitiv and clarify their thoughts on potential M&A activity involving that firm’s Matching, Dealing and FXall businesses. Will firms be willing to splash the amount of cash required to complete such a deal? Who would be the best buyers for the combined business or elements thereof? This and more is discussed.
In a quite remarkable conclusion, they close out by expressing sympathy for a regulator – something unlikely to ever happen again – before Lambert offers listeners the benefit(?) of his experience of trading Cable with a trading recommendation as the Brexit saga continues…what could go wrong?