Tag: AUD

AUD

Five on Friday: What Happened in Markets This Week

Lizzy Birmingham provides a brief roundup of the major FX moves this week, and the drivers behind each. 1) GBP Plummets Amid Uncertainty The British pound has hit a four month low. The continued drop in value has been caused by opposing parties failing to create Brexit deal and the looming resignation of Prime Minister […]

Flash Crash or the New Norm? Deciphering January 3

The foreign exchange industry got an early reminder of risk when on the second full day of trading this year the market saw another flash event. What, if anything, does this mean for FX market liquidity and volatility in the year ahead though? Colin Lambert finds out.The very sharp moves seen in FX markets at the start of the year triggered yet another round of introspection over conditions in the FX market with commentators pointing the finger of blame at one or more of algos, news from Apple, thin markets, Japanese retail and poor execution. Although Profit & Loss understands that industry players have been approached for data logs by certain regulators, the chances of an investigation turning up a convincing catalyst for the moves are thin.

Flash Crash or the New Norm? Deciphering January 3

The foreign exchange industry got an early reminder of risk when on the second full day of trading this year the market saw another flash event. What, if anything, does this mean for FX market liquidity and volatility in the year ahead though? Colin Lambert finds out.The very sharp moves seen in FX markets at the start of the year triggered yet another round of introspection over conditions in the FX market with commentators pointing the finger of blame at one or more of algos, news from Apple, thin markets, Japanese retail and poor execution. Although Profit & Loss understands that industry players have been approached for data logs by certain regulators, the chances of an investigation turning up a convincing catalyst for the moves are thin.

FX Options Skews: A Complicated Story

A new research note from CME Group looks at whether FX options skews can be used to predict where certain currencies will move relative to the US dollar.Written by Erik Norland, executive director and senior economist at CME, the research opens by explaining that options markets typically exhibit a skew, but that in different asset classes this skew can be in different directions.For example, Norland points out that out-of-the-money (OTM) put options on equity index futures are usually more expensive than OTM call options because investors fear a sudden decline in stock prices more than a sudden rise. However, the reverse is generally true for options on agriculture products because food buyers are more concerned with a sudden increase in the price of crops rather than a decline.

RBA Report Casts the Net Wide in Seeking Flash Crash Answers

A report in the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Statement on Monetary Policy looks at the flash event in FX markets on January 3 when the yen appreciated some 3% in a matter of seconds before falling back, but fails to discern a single factor behind the move.
Citing the fragmentation of the FX markets across an increasing number of different platforms, the RBA says “it is difficult to draw firm conclusions on the cause of the flash event”, adding that three factors are likely to have contributed to what it terms the “brief deterioration in market conditions”.

In the FICC of it

In this week’s podcast Colin Lambert and Galen Stops tackle two big stories in the FX market: the recent flash crash in the Asia markets and the changes at Citi’s FX prime brokerage (FXPB) business.Both Lambert and Stops express skepticism that the news regarding Apple’s profits in China was the cause of the flash crash, although the former is equally unsure about an alternative theory put forward by the latter to explain the price moves. Both agree though that the event was symptomatic of changes in the nature of liquidity in the FX market, and note a disparity between what many market participants will say in private and in public on this matter.

Thomson Reuters Goes Granular on AUD

Thomson Reuters has announced it is introducing more granular pricing for AUD/USD across its spot FX trading platforms. The change has been in beta testing with clients for some time and the change will officially be rolled out at the end of March.
Pricing for the pair will be in half pips to five decimal places, the new pricing regime will also be reflected in the firm’s market data offerings and added value calculations, as well as on its Eikon screens.

FX Trading in 2017: Plenty of Surprises to Come

Last year the FX market was highly event driven, with periods of sustained low volatility occasionally punctuated by large but episodic market moves.
Looking ahead to 2017 and there are already clearly some events set to take place that have the potential to drive further bursts of volatility, namely the invocation of Article 50 by Britain to begin its exit from the European Union and the scheduled political elections in France, Holland and Germany.
In addition, the change of policy direction expected under US Presidential-elect, Donald Trump, and the US Federal Reserve’s indication at the end of 2016 that it currently plans to raise rates three times this year are expected to be major drivers of the currency markets in the coming year.