In the FICC of It

Galen Stops is back on duty for this week's In the FICC of It podcast and he and Colin Lambert have a lot to get their teeth into. Starting with a response to Lambert's question from episode 37 as to why the Cartel were in a chatroom anyway, our podcasters discuss the throwing out of the case against former Barclays' FX head Robert Bogucki in the US. Staying with that bank, they then discuss a website set up by Barclays' former head of automated trading David Fotheringhame that is "a public defence of last look". Listeners will be glad to hear that Lambert doesn't bang on for too long on one of his favourite subjects, preferring instead to move the conversation onto exchange in FX, with the question, "will scale ultimately win the day?"
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In the FICC of It

With P&L’s editor Galen Stops showing his contempt for the listenership by declining to call in to the podcast from halfway down a black run on a snowboard, this week’s In the FICC of It takes a look back as managing editor Colin Lambert is joined by P&L’s founder Julie Ros, just over 20 years to the day she incorporated Profit & Loss. Although they somehow manage to omit to mention how they wrote pieces for the magazine about Caribbean and Scottish holidays and, even worse, took their own cover pictures, the two look back to the early days of e-FX, which coincided with the launch of Profit & Loss, and look at how things have changed – and in some cases have not. The names of the leaders in e-FX may have changed, as Ros notes, but our two podcasters agree that there is much that remains the same, in both the single and multi-dealer platform world especially. One week after Stops and Lambert went to town on each other’s predictions for 2019, Ros offers Lambert to chance to critique someone else’s predictions for the foreign exchange industry, made in 2000, and you will glad to hear that in spite of the aforementioned clairvoyant going onto to become Prime Minister of his country, Lambert shows his customary disregard for rank and gives it both barrels…
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In the FICC of It

In this week's podcast Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss the article penned for Profit & Loss by former FX trader Rohan Ramchandani about his trial and subsequent acquittal for market manipulation. While they generally agree on most points there is, inevitably, areas of disagreement, but that is nothing compared to when they move on (thanks to a quiet news week) to how they ranked each other's predictions for 2018. The results are available on the website, but why did Stops given Lambert a 6/10 for a bitcoin prediction that was actually correct? And why did Lambert return the compliment given Stops just a 4/10 for his own crypto prediction? All will be revealed in this week's In the FICC of It podcast, along with exactly which one of them scored the most points with their predictions.
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In the FICC of It

Just two subjects fill our podcast this week as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops share (contrarian) views over the benefit (or otherwise) of closer links between retail and institutional FX markets. The cynicism Lambert brings to that subject also permeates the second main subject – the release last week of two reports from Global FX Committee Working Groups on disclosures and “cover and deal” operators using last look. Our podcasters also take a look at the GFXC’s annual survey of opinions on the FX Global Code and while he admires what he terms “the optimism of youth” as expressed by Stops, Lambert is again wearing the cynical expression as they discuss some potentially concerning findings in the survey. Not happy there, Lambert also tries to hit back at what he reports was “ridicule” aimed at him after last week’s podcast discussed his NOK/MXN prediction for 2019 by deflecting the issue onto one of Stops’ predictions – or rather one of what Lambert believes is a “non-prediction”. Will FX prime brokerage consolidation reverse (slightly) and will asset manager clients remain elusive? Find out by listening in.
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In the FICC of it

In this week's podcast Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss the unusual case of a cryptocurrency fund manager that died with the only access code to about $190 million in cryptoassets. However, Stops - who has apparently been spending too much time on the Infowars website - casts doubt on the idea that the manager is even dead......This leads on to a broader discussion about cryptocurrencies, namely where have the spreads gone in bitcoin? And what happens to this cryptocurrency when the price doesn't move anymore. The pair also discuss the OTC platform volumes this month, with Lambert expressing frustration that these platform aren't more transparent about their rules and their enforcement. Staying with this topic, they then discuss whether or not the Global Code of Conduct has changed behaviour on these platforms,  and Stops relays comments from one market participants that isn't so sure on this.
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In the FICC of It

Scepticism abounds in this week’s In the FICC of It podcast as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops take a look at the latest bank to unveil a digital markets strategy – including all your favourite buzzwords. While Stops believes this is the latest move in what will be a growing trend, our podcasters also wonder whether it’s not really just a rebranding exercise? They then move into more traditional areas and discuss JP Morgan’s survey on FX market conditions, and while they agree with a lot of the findings, there are one or two areas that raise an eyebrow, not least around internalisation and AI. AI-generated trading and liquidity are also the forefront as they move on to share their thoughts around the flash crash in Jardine Matheson stock last week in Singapore, including asking the question, what does it mean for market maker programmes and certain order types? The discussion then moves on to look at the latest FX turnover surveys from the world’s FX committees, with particular attention on three interesting/puzzling (delete as appropriate) elements of the UK report surrounding RMB, NDFs and voice brokers. The podcast ends on with Lambert praising “the optimism of youth” after Stops highlights what he thinks could be a very important line at the end of the latest document detailing an FX-related fine in the US – in other words, the cynic in him won the day!
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In the FICC of It

There’s something for everyone in this week’s In the FICC of It podcast as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops traverse the US legal system, trading, crypto and China. Listen in as Lambert explains why he is mystified at the prosecution’s flip-flop in the Mark Johnson case and angry at the FX industry’s previous lack of effort to explain how markets work to the US legal authorities; and Stops takes a look at a new report n his favourite industry – CTAs. Having had the data explained to him, Lambert also thinks he knows why some CTA sectors are doing well and some aren’t, so that’s another of his “theories” then… Our podcasters then move onto debate whether crypto markets will evolve to an OTC model and whether this would be a good thing for attracting institutional money to what is still a relatively nascent market. Stops closes out by reporting from an analysts’ briefing this week that highlighted a change in approach on the part of China to its programme of liberalisation of the yuan.
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In the FICC of It

In football parlance it’s a tap in for Galen Stops and Colin Lambert in this week’s podcast as they have more academic-research-that-states-the-obvious to poke fun at. Listen in as they discuss last week’s report on the Swiss National Bank debacle in 2015 as well as the FX market's handling of the Brexit vote. They also take a look at the potential impact of last week's HSBC announcement that it had settled FX trades using distributed ledger technology, as well as the mysterious disappearance from marketing material of two asset classes at a recent platform media day.
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In the FICC of It

The January 3 flash event in FX markets continues to fuel the news cycle and in this week’s podcast, Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss the real impact of algos – widely cited as a major factor in the event – in markets. For once they agree on a central theme in the debate, including Lambert (very reluctantly) shooting down one of his own arguments with Stops last year on trend following, but as always there’s room for divergent views.
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In the FICC of it

In this week's podcast Colin Lambert and Galen Stops tackle two big stories in the FX market: the recent flash crash in the Asia markets and the changes at Citi's FX prime brokerage (FXPB) business.Both Lambert and Stops express skepticism that the news regarding Apple's profits in China was the cause of the flash crash, although the former is equally unsure about an alternative theory put forward by the latter to explain the price moves. Both agree though that the event was symptomatic of changes in the nature of liquidity in the FX market, and note a disparity between what many market participants will say in private and in public on this matter.
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