Second Barclays Trader Convicted of Euribor Manipulation

Just days after former colleagues Carlo Palombo was convicted of similar charges, a UK jury has found a second former Barclays interest rate trader guilty of Euribor manipulation. Former managing director at Barclays, Colin Bermingham, has been convicted of manipulating the benchmark rate at the height of the financial crisis following an investigation and prosecution brought by the UK’s Serious Fraud Office (SFO). A third trader, manager of the liquidity management portfolio at Barclays, Sisse Bohart, was acquitted last week.
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New York Fed Details Attitudes to Crypto

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Liberty Street Economics Unit has published the results of a survey conducted in the May 2018 Survey of Consumer Expectations that sought to understand what motivates people to participate in cryptocurrency markets. The survey covers a sample of 1,146 people from ages 18 to 96, with broad representation by race and gender and finds 85 percent of respondents had heard of cryptocurrencies – something it says may be a testament to Bitcoin’s name recognition. Around five percent of respondents reported that they currently or previously owned cryptocurrency and an additional 15 percent reported that they were considering buying cryptocurrency.
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FTSE Unveils Digital Assets Index

FTSE Russell, the global index, analytics and data provider, in association with DAR Data Services, have announced their intention to launch a new indicative FTSE Digital Assets Index. The new index will be used to evaluate and test a benchmark for the most actively traded digital assets, the firms say, claiming it will also help assist in the establishment of new industry standards for the digital assets market, in consultation with market participants. The indicative index, which will be available to registered users, will be calculated every 15 seconds.
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Flash Crash or the New Norm? Deciphering January 3

The foreign exchange industry got an early reminder of risk when on the second full day of trading this year the market saw another flash event. What, if anything, does this mean for FX market liquidity and volatility in the year ahead though? Colin Lambert finds out.The very sharp moves seen in FX markets at the start of the year triggered yet another round of introspection over conditions in the FX market with commentators pointing the finger of blame at one or more of algos, news from Apple, thin markets, Japanese retail and poor execution. Although Profit & Loss understands that industry players have been approached for data logs by certain regulators, the chances of an investigation turning up a convincing catalyst for the moves are thin.
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Flash Crash or the New Norm? Deciphering January 3

The foreign exchange industry got an early reminder of risk when on the second full day of trading this year the market saw another flash event. What, if anything, does this mean for FX market liquidity and volatility in the year ahead though? Colin Lambert finds out.The very sharp moves seen in FX markets at the start of the year triggered yet another round of introspection over conditions in the FX market with commentators pointing the finger of blame at one or more of algos, news from Apple, thin markets, Japanese retail and poor execution. Although Profit & Loss understands that industry players have been approached for data logs by certain regulators, the chances of an investigation turning up a convincing catalyst for the moves are thin.
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Nostradamus with Splinters

Having taken a look at Galen Stops’ predictions for 2018, Colin Lambert decides that overall he didn't do a bad job, but there is an obvious reason why…Obviously having been a very generous marker over the years when assessing my own predictions from the previous year I have now swung 180 degrees and plan on being as critical as possible when looking at Galen’s five key themes for 2018. The problem is that, overall, he didn't do too badly. Firstly, he suggested that 2018 could be the year that active currency management makes a comeback, although – and this is a theme of this review – there was a caveat because the headline ended with the words “sort of”.
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Close, But No Cigar

Having taken a look at Colin Lambert’s predictions for 2018, Galen Stops finds that he was almost right with all of them. “Almost” being the operative word.…..1.“Bitcoin. That’s The Thing That Goes Up, Right?” – “The advent of futures in Bitcoin will take volatility out of the market. The cryptocurrency will end the year lower, not at zero, but in the single digits of thousands of dollars.” Colin definitely scored a hit with his price prediction, with bitcoin currently at $3,500 at the time of writing. However, he did give himself a rather generous amount of leeway by effectively predicting that it would end the year anywhere between $1 and $9,999.
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P&L’s 2018 Crystal Ball – How Did We Do?

We’d all like to write our own reviews, but if the recent emphasis on third party transaction cost analysis (TCA) has taught us anything it’s that it can be beneficial to have an independent party conduct reviews too. With that in mind Profit & Loss challenged some of its readers to look over our 2018 predictions and provide feedback.Prediction: “The Great Divide” - 2018 will be all about the data and it will empower those willing to pay for it, however there will be challenges for those who cannot or will not pay up to consume and store the vast amounts of data required. Those with data will be more protective of how their pricing is used by counterparts and those without will struggle in an increasingly fragmented market as more platforms package and sell their data.
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Understanding Blockchain Forks

Most published analysis of the legal consequences of blockchain forks has been underwhelming. Discussions often centre around the legal risks to miners and developers, questions of little relevance because of the general absence of contracts between users of public blockchains and the constellation of jurisdictions from which they operate. In other words, it will freeze in hell before anonymous developers based god-knows-where win a lawsuit against unidentified Chinese miners aggregated in a mining pool. I should add that several articles appeared to be advertorials by law firms looking for new business.
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FX Sees Flash Crash in Asia – But What Caused It?

FX markets in early Asia experienced what dealers refer to as a “mini flash crash” today as risk aversion levels were ramped up and volatility ensued following a profit warning from Apple. USDJPY fell 400 points at one stage before reversing more than half of the drop, while AUDUSD also collapsed sharply to hit a new multi-year low. There were also sharp moves in other pairs, with Cable dropping more than 200 points and even EURUSD saw what is for the normally stable cross, a decent move.
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