Galen Stops takes a look at whether the predictions of FX moving towards a centrally cleared model might finally be coming true.
Central clearing for FX has endured a number of false dawns in recent years. As long ago as 2011, Profit & Loss published an article, “FX Clearing – Are You Ready?” in which it was argued that Dodd-Frank was likely to drive FX options and NDFs products into clearing.
Then back in the first quarter 2014, staff at the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) indicated that the guidelines for the mandatory clearing of FX derivatives products, which included NDFs could be finalised within weeks. Indeed, Profit & Loss reported in mid-June 2014 that the CFTC was poised to fire the starting gun for mandatory FX clearing.