Just two subjects fill our podcast this week as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops share (contrarian) views over the benefit (or otherwise) of closer links between retail and institutional FX markets.
The cynicism Lambert brings to that subject also permeates the second main subject – the release last week of two reports from Global FX Committee Working Groups on disclosures and “cover and deal” operators using last look. Our podcasters also take a look at the GFXC’s annual survey of opinions on the FX Global Code and while he admires what he terms “the optimism of youth” as expressed by Stops, Lambert is again wearing the cynical expression as they discuss some potentially concerning findings in the survey.
Not happy there, Lambert also tries to hit back at what he reports was “ridicule” aimed at him after last week’s podcast discussed his NOK/MXN prediction for 2019 by deflecting the issue onto one of Stops’ predictions – or rather one of what Lambert believes is a “non-prediction”. Will FX prime brokerage consolidation reverse (slightly) and will asset manager clients remain elusive? Find out by listening in.
In this week's podcast Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss the unusual case of a cryptocurrency fund manager that died with the only access code to about $190 million in cryptoassets. However, Stops - who has apparently been spending too much time on the Infowars website - casts doubt on the idea that the manager is even dead......This leads on to a broader discussion about cryptocurrencies, namely where have the spreads gone in bitcoin? And what happens to this cryptocurrency when the price doesn't move anymore. The pair also discuss the OTC platform volumes this month, with Lambert expressing frustration that these platform aren't more transparent about their rules and their enforcement. Staying with this topic, they then discuss whether or not the Global Code of Conduct has changed behaviour on these platforms, and Stops relays comments from one market participants that isn't so sure on this.
Scepticism abounds in this week’s In the FICC of It podcast as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops take a look at the latest bank to unveil a digital markets strategy – including all your favourite buzzwords. While Stops believes this is the latest move in what will be a growing trend, our podcasters also wonder whether it’s not really just a rebranding exercise?
They then move into more traditional areas and discuss JP Morgan’s survey on FX market conditions, and while they agree with a lot of the findings, there are one or two areas that raise an eyebrow, not least around internalisation and AI.
AI-generated trading and liquidity are also the forefront as they move on to share their thoughts around the flash crash in Jardine Matheson stock last week in Singapore, including asking the question, what does it mean for market maker programmes and certain order types?
The discussion then moves on to look at the latest FX turnover surveys from the world’s FX committees, with particular attention on three interesting/puzzling (delete as appropriate) elements of the UK report surrounding RMB, NDFs and voice brokers.
The podcast ends on with Lambert praising “the optimism of youth” after Stops highlights what he thinks could be a very important line at the end of the latest document detailing an FX-related fine in the US – in other words, the cynic in him won the day!
There’s something for everyone in this week’s In the FICC of It podcast as Colin Lambert and Galen Stops traverse the US legal system, trading, crypto and China.
Listen in as Lambert explains why he is mystified at the prosecution’s flip-flop in the Mark Johnson case and angry at the FX industry’s previous lack of effort to explain how markets work to the US legal authorities; and Stops takes a look at a new report n his favourite industry – CTAs. Having had the data explained to him, Lambert also thinks he knows why some CTA sectors are doing well and some aren’t, so that’s another of his “theories” then…
Our podcasters then move onto debate whether crypto markets will evolve to an OTC model and whether this would be a good thing for attracting institutional money to what is still a relatively nascent market.
Stops closes out by reporting from an analysts’ briefing this week that highlighted a change in approach on the part of China to its programme of liberalisation of the yuan.
In football parlance it’s a tap in for Galen Stops and Colin Lambert in this week’s podcast as they have more academic-research-that-states-the-obvious to poke fun at. Listen in as they discuss last week’s report on the Swiss National Bank debacle in 2015 as well as the FX market's handling of the Brexit vote. They also take a look at the potential impact of last week's HSBC announcement that it had settled FX trades using distributed ledger technology, as well as the mysterious disappearance from marketing material of two asset classes at a recent platform media day.
The January 3 flash event in FX markets continues to fuel the news cycle and in this week’s podcast, Colin Lambert and Galen Stops discuss the real impact of algos – widely cited as a major factor in the event – in markets. For once they agree on a central theme in the debate, including Lambert (very reluctantly) shooting down one of his own arguments with Stops last year on trend following, but as always there’s room for divergent views.
In this week's podcast Colin Lambert and Galen Stops tackle two big stories in the FX market: the recent flash crash in the Asia markets and the changes at Citi's FX prime brokerage (FXPB) business.Both Lambert and Stops express skepticism that the news regarding Apple's profits in China was the cause of the flash crash, although the former is equally unsure about an alternative theory put forward by the latter to explain the price moves. Both agree though that the event was symptomatic of changes in the nature of liquidity in the FX market, and note a disparity between what many market participants will say in private and in public on this matter.
It's the end of year It’s the end of year special podcast and Colin Lambert and Galen Stops are in jovial mood as they bring the curtain down on another busy year in the FICC industry. Listen in as they each identify a key theme from the past year and look to re-assess them with the benefit of hindsight, before moving into less certain territory by providing a price prediction for everyones favourite out-of-control child, Bitcoin.
They also – this being the season of making a wish, share their one hope for 2019, although one of them (Lambert of course) appears to have forgotten it’s the season of goodwill!
In a sensational end to the year’s podcasts, Lambert also reveals that yes, he did indeed quote from the film Love Actually in a podcast earlier this year, but he tries (and fails) to make amends by setting listeners another teaser by paraphrasing from a much more acceptable movie…in his mind at least!
In this week’s podcast, Colin Lambert and Galen Stops take a look at the first in-depth analysis from a broker of the CME-NEX deal and while they accept that much of what was written was already known and had been discussed there were a few nuggets of useful information in there.
On the subject of mergers and acquisitions, they also discuss the recent changes at Refinitiv and clarify their thoughts on potential M&A activity involving that firm’s Matching, Dealing and FXall businesses. Will firms be willing to splash the amount of cash required to complete such a deal? Who would be the best buyers for the combined business or elements thereof? This and more is discussed.
In a quite remarkable conclusion, they close out by expressing sympathy for a regulator – something unlikely to ever happen again – before Lambert offers listeners the benefit(?) of his experience of trading Cable with a trading recommendation as the Brexit saga continues…what could go wrong?
It may be his life-threatening illness (slight cold) but Colin Lambert is in punchy form in this week’s In the FICC of It podcast, so listen in as he and Galen Stops discuss a busy week in the FICC world.
Starting with the potential implications of Cboe’s agreement with UBS to help broaden the reach of its FX platform – and why Refinitiv might want to sit up and pay attention – they rampage through the multi-dealer platform world looking at how (if according to Lambert) platforms can differentiate themselves. Are these firms really taking the single dealer model and deploying it in a multi-dealer landscape? Will this work? What are the USPs of a single and multi-dealer platform?